Tuesday, July 19, 2011

Gold is Not Money


So there you have it, after 6000 years of being money, gold is not money according the Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernanke. Ron Paul asked him directly and the answer was ‘no’ as you can see on this five minute clip. This is a strange comment coming at a time when gold prices are making all time highs as we can see on chart below, where gold is sitting at $1590.10/oz.

Our reading of history tells us that gold has long been recognized as a medium of exchange for international trade and a consistent store of value or wealth. We will have to agree to differ with Ben Bernanke on this point and try to make the best of the situation as we see it. 


With real interest rates being negative an alternative to paper money is sort after by those who need to protect whats left of their wealth, hence both gold and silver prices have been making steady progress for the last ten years. Have the fundamentals changed for the precious metals, not in our humble opinion, the euro-zone is drowning in debt as clueless politicians dash from meeting to meeting in the hope that someone will pull a rabbit out of the bag. Some hope!

Across the pond we have a president, who like most politicians is focused on keeping his ass in the White House to the detriment of the American economy. All around us government, at all levels, has grown to monstrous proportions and now acts as a enormous drag on the private sector, which is battling to merely survive. There comes a time when we have to take medicine which is unpalatable, but necessary in order to recover, but those who are in a position to administer such medicine just don’t have the courage to do so and so we stagger from a sneeze to the flu to pneumonia in an economic sense.

We are stuck in this quagmire and can only anticipate that things are going to get worse before they get better. The tragedy here is that as things do get worse, those responsible for dragging us down will continue to interfere at a greater and deeper level making the situation worse. Under the banner of what is ‘good for us’ we will progressively lose our ability to operate as we see fit and will be corralled into a highly controlled state pig pen.

So, Defense how do we get the ball back?

First up is that the trend is your friend and both gold and silver have performed spectacularly well over the last decade so stick with them. Make sure that you can ‘touch’ your precious metals, keep them out of the banks and in a secure privately owned depository if its a large amount or in a safe place close to you if its a small amount.

The next step is to acquire a small number of quality mining stocks, something that we did some time ago and occasionally increase our exposure as and when the opportunity for a bargain presents itself. However, we are looking at the mining sector with some trepidation at the moment despite a growing call for these stocks to explode higher any minute now. As we see it the financial crisis is not behind us, it is in front of us and when it comes

there is the possibility that both gold and silver producers will be considered as ’stocks’ and will be sold off regardless of their fundamentals, in the rush to generate cash and meet margin calls, etc. So for now we are observers here rather being active participants, but we still hold a core position in stocks.

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