FCOJ (NYBOT:OJU13)
General Comments: Futures closed higher again as some tropical systems were seen forming in the Atlantic. It is too late to hurt the current production as the harvest is mostly over, but a big storm now could severely impact the coming production. So far the storms do not appear strong enough to damage crops, and might not get close enough to production areas to cause any concern. Showers are reported and conditions are said to have improved in almost the entire state. Ideas are that the better precipitation will help trees fight the greening disease. Greening disease and what it might mean to production prospects continues to be a primary support item and will be for several years. Temperatures are warm in the state, but there are showers reported. Brazil is seeing near to above normal temperatures and mostly dry weather.
Overnight News: Florida weather forecasts call for showers. Temperatures will average near to above normal. ICE said that 0 delivery notices were posted today and that total deliveries for the month are now 0 contracts.
Chart Trends: Trends in FCOJ are mixed. Support is at 130.00, 125.00, and 122.50 September, with resistance at 135.00, 138.00, and 139.00 September.
COTTON (NYBOT:CTV13)
General Comments: Futures were mixed to higher on follow through buying from last week and also on ideas that crop conditions are getting worse in Texas. After the close, USDA showed that overall crop ratings dropped in the US and that most of the drop came in Texas. Parts of the Southeast are getting too much rain and Texas growing areas remain mostly hot and dry. Conditions in Alabama, Mississippi, and Missouri are below average now. Futures held the short term range. It is possible that futures can work lower again as demand has turned soft, but production and weather might be more important in the short term. Weather for Cotton appears good in India, Pakistan, and China.
Overnight News: The Delta should be dry except for showers and storms on Thursday and Southeast will see showers and rains Thursday through the weekend. Temperatures will average near to above normal. Texas will be mostly dry. Temperatures will average above normal. The USDA spot price is now 82.01 ct/lb. ICE said that certified Cotton stocks are now 0.610 million bales, from 0.601 million yesterday. ICE said that 77 notices were posted today and that total deliveries are now 2,592 contracts.
Chart Trends: Trends in Cotton are mixed . Support is at 86.00, 85.20, and 84.00 October, with resistance of 87.45, 88.00, and 88.20 October.
COFFEE (NYBOT:KCU13)
General Comments: Futures were higher due to almost nonexistent offers from origin. Demand was not much stronger than the offer and the cash market remains very quiet. Sellers, including Brazil, are quiet and are waiting for better prices of the next crop. Buyers are interested on cheap differentials, and cheap futures. Brazil weather is forecast to show dry conditions, but no cold weather. Current crop development is still good this year. Central America crops are seeing good rains now. Colombia is reported to have good conditions. Robusta prices are holding stronger as the Vietnamese export pace has really dropped.
Overnight News: Certified stocks are lower today and are about 2.742 million bags. The ICO composite price is now 118.15 ct/lb. Brazil should get dry weather except for some showers in the northeast. Temperatures will average near to above normal. Colombia should get scattered showers, and Central America and Mexico should get showers, and rains. Temperatures should average near to above normal. ICE said that 0 delivery notices were posted against July today and that total deliveries for the month are now 810 contracts. Brazil exported 30.54 million bags of Coffee in 2012-13, up 2.5% from the previous marketing year. The ICO estimated world production at 144.6 million bags in 2012-13, up 8% from the previous marketing year.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed. Support is at 120.00, 117.00, and 116.00 September, and resistance is at 125.00, 126.00, and 127.00 September. Trends in London are mixed to up with objectives of 1835 and 1900 September. Support is at 1790, 1755, and 1720 September, and resistance is at 1825, 1855, and 1870 September. Trends in Sao Paulo are mixed to down with no objectives. Support is at 140.00, 137.00, and 134.00 September, and resistance is at 150.00, 151.00, and 155.00 September.
SUGAR (NYBOT:SBV13)
General Comments: Futures closed higher on some talk that UNICA could show reduced Sugar production in reports later this week. Ideas are that mills had not had time to produce more Sugar due to a delayed harvest in Brazil because of rains and also because they are concentrating on producing ethanol. Futures might try to work lower again this week as trends have turned down again and new contract lows were made, but at least one more day or recovery trading is possible. There is still a lot of Sugar around, and not only from Brazil. The Indian monsoon is off to a good start and this should help with Sugarcane production in the country. Northern areas are in good shape, but southern areas might be too hot and dry and some stress to the Sugarcane is possible in the short term. Traders remain bearish on ideas of big supplies, especially from Brazil. Traders in Brazil expect big production to continue as the weather is improved.
Overnight News: Showers are expected in Brazil, mostly in the south and southwest. Temperatures should average near to above normal.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are down with objectives of 1580 October. Support is at 1620, 1600, and 1570 October, and resistance is at 1650, 1665, and 1690 October. Trends in London are mixed to down with objectives of 465.00 and 448.00 October. Support is at 470.00, 466.00, and 463.00 October, and resistance is at 480.00, 485.00, and 490.00 October.
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