Monday, July 15, 2013

How to make profits on gap fill swing trades every week


How to make profits on gap fill swing trades every week

As a short term trader, one of the best ways to make consistent profits and take them out of the market is buying oversold gap fill set ups. I’m looking for strong stocks that are having very rapid short term pullbacks in price.  When I see the pullback, I immediately check the 5 or 10 day charts on an hourly basis and look for any gaps in the chart below.

Gaps are a situation where a stock moved up with a higher bid price than a recent closing price (Can be on a 15 minute, hourly, or daily basis even) and never came back down to where that Gap was created.  These gaps often close because traders set stops just at or below where that gap was created and then often the computer trading systems end up running all the stops until the final stops are filled at or below those gaps.

I use that type of arbitrage and volatility to scale into that stock as the gap is approaching.  I never try to buy the exact gap because often a stock will fill the gap on 100 shares and then reverse quickly to the upside, and then you are stuck watching and or chasing the stock higher. This only adds further risk to your trading, not less.

Often a gap will fill and the stock will dip a bit below the gap as well, so I will continue to buy shares as that occurs as well looking for the reversal while lowering my average entry point at the same time.

We have a real time sample below in DATA (Tableau Software) a recent IPO.  This stock is pretty thinly traded so it can move up or down a few dollars quickly for no real reason, thus creating the arbitrage.  Yesterday this peaked near $60 and as of this morning it was trading below $55 per share on light volume as a gap on the 10 day chart was sitting there around $54.80.  Noting that gap and the near term oversold condition, as a trader, you would want to begin to buy just over 55 and down to and below the gap. The stock filled that gap and dropped into the 54.50′s briefly.

The stock then recovered to $56.30 just 15-20 minutes later, giving that trader a quick $1.20 -$1.50 per share profit on his or her position in very little time.

Now this pattern repeats over and over again every week in the market giving the savvy trader opportunities all week long.  At our ATP service we somewhat use the same idea, though not on a 1-2 hour scale per se, but the same general concept applies.  Time frames can be much different, but the idea is it is one reversal technique you can deploy with attack capital to take money out of the market.

You must be quick on your feet and not afraid to pull the buy trigger, add to your position, and then move to sell at the appropriate time.  This technique is best for the more advanced trader who has time to watch the screen.

Join us at ATP for Real Time Stock and ETF Alert set ups with ongoing buy and sell advice. WWW.ACTIVETRADINGPARTNERS.COM

628 data gap fill

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