Friday, July 8, 2011

Generali CDS Surges To All Time Wide


Three days ago, and 30 basis point tighter, we said Assecurazioni Generali "one of Italy's largest insurers, is a highly levered windsock for Italian and other PIIGS stress, and better yet, can be played in either equity or CDS" concluding that "anyone who wishes to play the developing contagion and awakening bond vigilantism via either equity or CDS, this is without doubt the best proxy." When we wrote that the CDS was at 177 bps. Thre days later it is at 205 bps, virtually at its all time wide, which is about to trigger the buy to cover stops, and surge to a 3-handle any second, a move which will only be catalyzed if and when Tremonti bails.



No comments:

Post a Comment

Follow Us